Forecasting Without Wishful Thinking
13 Sep , 2026 - Logistics
I once sat in a windowless conference room in Shenzhen, watching a supplier manager present a color-coded spreadsheet that promised a 98% fulfillment rate for the upcoming quarter. It was a work of art—beautifully rendered, mathematically elegant, and completely untethered from reality. He was selling a dream, but I was looking at a production floor […]